π§ Palantir (PLTR) Q3 2025 Earnings β Core Brief Edition
Headline: Record +63% revenue growth with Rule of 40 = 114; US Commercial +121% YoY; guidance raised on revenue and profitability as AIP deployments scale across enterprises.
Key Metrics π
- GAAP revenue: $1.181B (+63% YoY, +18% QoQ).
- Adjusted gross margin: 84%.
- Adjusted income from operations: $601M (51.0% margin).
- GAAP operating income: $393M (33.0% margin).
- GAAP net income: $476M (40.0% margin); GAAP EPS: $0.18.
- Adjusted EPS: $0.21.
- Adjusted FCF: $540M (46.0% margin); TTM adj. FCF: $2.0B (first time).
- TCV bookings (record): $2.8B (+151% YoY).
- Deals closed: 204 β₯ $1M; 91 β₯ $5M; 53 β₯ $10M.
- Customers: 911 (+45% YoY, +7% QoQ).
- Net dollar retention: 134% (+600 bps QoQ).
- Remaining deal value: $8.6B (+91% YoY, +21% QoQ); RPO: $2.6B (+66% YoY, +8% QoQ).
- Rule of 40: 114 (up +20 pts QoQ; +46 pts YoY).
Segment & Strategy Highlights π§
- Commercial revenue: $548M (+73% YoY, +22% QoQ).
- US Commercial: $397M (+121% YoY, +29% QoQ); $1.3B TCV (+342% YoY).
- International Commercial: $152M (+10% YoY, +5% QoQ).
- US Commercial now ~34% of total revenue.
- Government revenue: $633M (+55% YoY, +14% QoQ).
- US Gov: $486M (+52% YoY, +14% QoQ).
- International Gov: $147M (+66% YoY, +16% QoQ).
- Strategic commercial contracts: $2.9M in Q3; guided $2β$4M for Q4; <0.5% of FY25 revenue.
Product, Tech, AI π
- AIP FDE (native development agent) automates data hookup/transform, ontology creation, and app buildingβdriving materially faster deployments (management cited migrations done in days).
- AI Hive Mind coordinates agent βswarmsβ for problem-solving and executable proposals, integrated with ontology; used for supply-chain fixes and mission planning (Gaia/Maverick).
- Edge Ontologies enable AIP on mobile/embedded hardware (drones/robots).
- US Army directive: organization-wide consolidation on Vantage (built on Foundry/AIP), enabling legacy sunset and data-driven decisioning.
Guidance / Outlook π
- Q4 2025 revenue: $1.327β$1.331B (midpoint $1.329B, +13% QoQ, +61% YoY).
- Q4 adjusted income from operations: $695β$699M.
- FY 2025 revenue (raised): $4.396β$4.400B (midpoint $4.398B, +53% YoY).
- FY 2025 US Commercial (raised): > $1.433B (β₯+104% YoY).
- FY 2025 adjusted income from operations (raised): $2.151β$2.155B.
- FY 2025 adjusted FCF: $1.9β$2.1B.
- Expect GAAP operating income and net income in each quarter of 2025; FY25 Rule of 40 ~102.
What Management Said β βWhat weβre doing & whatβs nextβ π§©
- Doing now: Scaling enterprise-wide AIP rollouts that drive unit-economics improvements; record TCV and NDR 134% underscore expanding customer value. Sustained momentum across US Government and allies; US Commercial is the fastest-growing engine.
- Next: Push deeper into enterprise autonomyβclosed-loop evolution (Hive Mind ideation β FDE-built apps β production); expand Edge deployments; maintain US-led growth while pursuing targeted international wins (Asia, Middle East). Continue product investment and elite technical hiring while staying durably GAAP profitable.
Q&A Highlights π¬
- Sales cycles/Bootcamps: Customers are skipping single use-cases and reorganizing company-wide around AIP, seeking rapid, public-market βprivate-equity-likeβ transformations measured in months, not years.
- Why Palantir now: Network effects from visible impact; enterprises recognize that ontology + agents + production apps are required for real AI ROIβdriving larger, faster enterprise agreements (e.g., 8Γ ACV expansion in 5 months).
- Capacity & productivity: AIP FDE is a force-multiplierβheadcount up modestly while revenue up +63%; FDE is now also customer-facing to accelerate adoption depth.
- Geo mix & pipeline: US remains the growth locus; Europe softer. Government pipeline healthy (e.g., continued growth areas like Maven/NGC2); no specific contract details provided.
Balance Sheet & Capital πΌ
- Cash & equivalents: $6.4B.
- Share repurchase: 2.6M shares YTD; $880M authorization remaining.
Bottom Line β
AIP-led, enterprise-wide deployments are compounding into record bookings, expanding profitability, and raised FY25 guidance. With agents + ontology at the core, Palantir is positioning for continued US-led growth while scaling edge and mission-critical use cases.