S&P 500 Sector Sentiment — 2026-02-10
S&P 500 Sector Sentiment — 2026-02-10
Current tone: neutral
Latest score: 46.6/100
Cross-sector dispersion: 94.4 pts
In our 'Forward return playbook,' we map out sectors for investors. Leaders this week include Materials, known for their resilient demand, and Real Estate, benefiting from stable rental income. Meanwhile, groups like Technology and Consumer Discretion have lagged behind due to current market conditions.
Scan the Forward return playbook for context, then the Sector map for leadership and laggards.
Leaders include Materials, Real Estate.
Laggards include Technology, Consumer Disc..
Forward return playbook (SPX)
Historical medians and hit ratios from past dates that looked similar to today (conditional on the sentiment regime + a tight score band).
| Horizon | Median SPX | Hit Ratio | N |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 0.6% | 60.2% | 389 |
| 3M | 1.1% | 59.9% | 389 |
| 6M | 1.9% | 62.2% | 389 |
| 12M | 6.8% | 73.5% | 389 |
Sector map (0=cold, 100=hot)
Leading / Hot
- Materials: 99.4/100
- Real Estate: 92.6/100
- Industrials: 91.3/100
Lagging / Cold
- Technology: 5.0/100
- Consumer Disc.: 9.8/100
- Financials: 10.4/100
Neutral
- Consumer Staples: 56.0/100
- Comm. Services: 47.6/100
- Utilities: 38.3/100
- Health Care: 15.4/100
Read-through
- Higher dispersion usually means stock selection and factor tilts matter more than pure index direction.
- Use the playbook as a bias check, then size risk around the sector map (leaders vs laggards).
