Meta Q3 2025 Earnings - Core Brief Edition
1. Headline results
- Revenue: $51.2B, +26% y/y (25% cc).
- Operating income: $20.5B, 40% operating margin.
- Net income was dragged by a one-time U.S. tax law charge; without it EPS would’ve been $7.25.
- Family of Apps revenue: $50.8B, still the growth engine.
- Cash & marketable securities: $44.4B; debt: $28.8B.
2. Users & engagement
- Meta now reaches 3.5B people daily across the family of apps.
- Instagram hit 3B MAUs — a major milestone.
- Threads passed 150M DAUs and time spent rose 10% in Q3 thanks to ranking tweaks.
- AI-powered recommendations kept people longer in the apps: +5% time on Facebook, +10% on Threads, and video time on Instagram is up >30% y/y.
- Reels monetization is scaling — annual run-rate >$50B.
3. Ads engine = still working
- Ad impressions +14% y/y.
- Average price per ad +10% y/y — stronger advertiser demand, helped by better AI ranking.
- End-to-end AI-powered ad tools now run at a $60B annualized pace.
- Meta is consolidating hundreds of smaller ad/ranking models into a few large ones (“lattice”, Andromeda) to improve conversions and lower complexity.
4. AI strategy = front-load compute
- Zuckerberg was very explicit: Meta wants to “aggressively front-load” infrastructure (data centers, GPUs, cloud) to be ready if frontier/superintelligence shows up sooner than consensus.
- If AI arrives fast → Meta is positioned.
- If it arrives slower → Meta will use the extra compute to improve core ads/recommendations, which are already “compute-starved.”
- He said Meta now has “the highest talent density” in its new Meta Superintelligence Labs (MSL) and is training the next generation frontier models.
- More than 1B people already use Meta AI monthly; usage rises every time they improve the model.
5. Reality Labs / devices
- Reality Labs revenue: $470M, +74% y/y, helped by retailers stocking Quest earlier and strong AI glasses demand (Ray-Ban Meta, Oakley Meta).
- BUT: Q4 Reality Labs revenue will be lower y/y because last year they launched Quest 3 in Q4 — they’re “lapping” that.
- New AI display glasses sold out in 48 hours in most stores — Meta sees this as an area “where we are clearly leading.”
6. WhatsApp & business AI
- WhatsApp paid messaging + Meta Verified supported “other revenue” ($690M, +59%).
- Click-to-WhatsApp ads grew 60% y/y.
- Meta is rolling out business AI agents (Philippines, Mexico, now wider) to let SMEs handle customer chats at low cost.
7. Guidance & 2026 setup
- Q4 2025 revenue guide: $56–59B.
- 2025 expenses: now $116–118B (raised, mainly infra + AI hires + legal).
- 2025 capex: $70–72B (also raised).
- Important: Meta said 2026 capex growth will be “notably larger” than 2025, and total expenses will also grow “significantly faster” — because AI/compute needs “expanded meaningfully.”
- They may continue to use JV / partner financing (like with Blue Owl) to keep optionality on data centers.
8. Risks / regulatory
- EU “less personalized ads” talks may force further changes and could hurt EU revenue as soon as this quarter.
- U.S. youth-related cases in 2026 may be material.
- So: strong core business → but heavier regulatory headwinds.
9. Core-Brief takeaway
- This quarter was a classic “strong P&L + heavier AI capex talk”.
- Engagement is doing the work → ads can still grow.
- But the market will have to digest another leg up in 2026 spending because Meta wants to win the frontier-model race and then push those models through 3.5B users + 60B ads ARR.
- In other words: they see more ROI than compute right now — so they’ll buy compute.