Meta Q3 2025 Earnings - Core Brief Edition

Meta Q3 2025 Earnings - Core Brief Edition

1. Headline results

  • Revenue: $51.2B, +26% y/y (25% cc).
  • Operating income: $20.5B, 40% operating margin.
  • Net income was dragged by a one-time U.S. tax law charge; without it EPS would’ve been $7.25.
  • Family of Apps revenue: $50.8B, still the growth engine.
  • Cash & marketable securities: $44.4B; debt: $28.8B.

2. Users & engagement

  • Meta now reaches 3.5B people daily across the family of apps.
  • Instagram hit 3B MAUs — a major milestone.
  • Threads passed 150M DAUs and time spent rose 10% in Q3 thanks to ranking tweaks.
  • AI-powered recommendations kept people longer in the apps: +5% time on Facebook, +10% on Threads, and video time on Instagram is up >30% y/y.
  • Reels monetization is scaling — annual run-rate >$50B.

3. Ads engine = still working

  • Ad impressions +14% y/y.
  • Average price per ad +10% y/y — stronger advertiser demand, helped by better AI ranking.
  • End-to-end AI-powered ad tools now run at a $60B annualized pace.
  • Meta is consolidating hundreds of smaller ad/ranking models into a few large ones (“lattice”, Andromeda) to improve conversions and lower complexity.

4. AI strategy = front-load compute

  • Zuckerberg was very explicit: Meta wants to “aggressively front-load” infrastructure (data centers, GPUs, cloud) to be ready if frontier/superintelligence shows up sooner than consensus.
  • If AI arrives fast → Meta is positioned.
  • If it arrives slower → Meta will use the extra compute to improve core ads/recommendations, which are already “compute-starved.”
  • He said Meta now has “the highest talent density” in its new Meta Superintelligence Labs (MSL) and is training the next generation frontier models.
  • More than 1B people already use Meta AI monthly; usage rises every time they improve the model.

5. Reality Labs / devices

  • Reality Labs revenue: $470M, +74% y/y, helped by retailers stocking Quest earlier and strong AI glasses demand (Ray-Ban Meta, Oakley Meta).
  • BUT: Q4 Reality Labs revenue will be lower y/y because last year they launched Quest 3 in Q4 — they’re “lapping” that.
  • New AI display glasses sold out in 48 hours in most stores — Meta sees this as an area “where we are clearly leading.”

6. WhatsApp & business AI

  • WhatsApp paid messaging + Meta Verified supported “other revenue” ($690M, +59%).
  • Click-to-WhatsApp ads grew 60% y/y.
  • Meta is rolling out business AI agents (Philippines, Mexico, now wider) to let SMEs handle customer chats at low cost.

7. Guidance & 2026 setup

  • Q4 2025 revenue guide: $56–59B.
  • 2025 expenses: now $116–118B (raised, mainly infra + AI hires + legal).
  • 2025 capex: $70–72B (also raised).
  • Important: Meta said 2026 capex growth will be “notably larger” than 2025, and total expenses will also grow “significantly faster” — because AI/compute needs “expanded meaningfully.”
  • They may continue to use JV / partner financing (like with Blue Owl) to keep optionality on data centers.

8. Risks / regulatory

  • EU “less personalized ads” talks may force further changes and could hurt EU revenue as soon as this quarter.
  • U.S. youth-related cases in 2026 may be material.
  • So: strong core business → but heavier regulatory headwinds.

9. Core-Brief takeaway

  • This quarter was a classic “strong P&L + heavier AI capex talk”.
  • Engagement is doing the work → ads can still grow.
  • But the market will have to digest another leg up in 2026 spending because Meta wants to win the frontier-model race and then push those models through 3.5B users + 60B ads ARR.
  • In other words: they see more ROI than compute right now — so they’ll buy compute.

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META 3Q25
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