Crypto DeMark Sentiment Index — 2026-02-02
Crypto Sentiment — 2026-02-02
Current tone: negative
Latest score: 19.6/100
Cross-coin dispersion: 60.2 pts
Forward return playbook Coin map
Scan the Forward return playbook for context, then the Coin map for leadership and laggards.
Leaders include TRON, Ethereum.
Laggards include Litecoin, Avalanche.
Forward return playbook (BTC)
Historical medians and hit ratios from past dates that looked similar to today (same regime + tight score band).
| Horizon | Median BTC | Hit Ratio | N |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 2.5% | 54.9% | 102 |
| 3M | 2.7% | 52.9% | 102 |
| 6M | 12.4% | 67.6% | 102 |
Coin map (0=cold, 100=hot)
Leading / Hot
- TRON: 61.1/100
- Ethereum: 36.9/100
- BNB: 35.6/100
- Toncoin: 33.7/100
Lagging / Cold
- Litecoin: 0.9/100
- Avalanche: 1.5/100
- Dogecoin: 2.3/100
- Chainlink: 6.4/100
Neutral
- Bitcoin: 31.5/100
- Solana: 15.0/100
- Polkadot: 12.9/100
- Cardano: 9.5/100
- XRP: 7.1/100
Read-through
- Higher dispersion often means selection matters more than beta.
- Use the playbook as a bias check, then size risk around the coin map (leaders vs laggards).
