Crypto DeMark Sentiment Index — 2026-03-30
Crypto Sentiment — 2026-03-30
Current tone: neutral
Latest score: 49.8/100
Cross-coin dispersion: 81.4 pts
The current market sentiment is leaning towards a moderate outlook, with leaders such as TRON and Cardano paving the way, while Toncoin and Litecoin are struggling to keep up. Our forward return playbook indicates that similar market conditions have yielded promising results in the past. By analyzing the coin map, investors can identify opportunities and risks associated with various cryptocurrencies. Leaders like TRON and Cardano are typically characterized by strong fundamentals and growing adoption, whereas laggards like Toncoin and Litecoin may be experiencing challenges that hinder their growth.
Scan the Forward return playbook for context, then the Coin map for leadership and laggards.
Forward return playbook (BTC)
Historical medians and hit ratios from past dates that looked similar to today (same regime + tight score band).
| Horizon | Median BTC | Hit Ratio | N |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 14.4% | 72.6% | 95 |
| 3M | 5.5% | 51.6% | 95 |
| 6M | 24.3% | 76.8% | 95 |
Coin map (0=cold, 100=hot)
Leading / Hot
- TRON: 83.4/100
- Cardano: 76.7/100
- XRP: 67.7/100
- Ethereum: 64.8/100
Lagging / Cold
- Toncoin: 2.0/100
- Litecoin: 28.1/100
- Chainlink: 38.2/100
- Polkadot: 38.6/100
Neutral
- Dogecoin: 64.4/100
- Solana: 51.6/100
- BNB: 45.7/100
- Avalanche: 45.5/100
- Bitcoin: 40.6/100
Read-through
- Higher dispersion often means selection matters more than beta.
- Use the playbook as a bias check, then size risk around the coin map (leaders vs laggards).
