Crypto DeMark Sentiment Index — 2026-08-09
Crypto Sentiment — 2026-08-09
Current tone: neutral
Latest score: 40.7/100
Cross-coin dispersion: 79.2 pts
Forward return playbook: Ethereum, TRON leading; Dogecoin & Toncoin lagging. Coin map: Leaders (Ethereum) vs Laggards (Dogecoin/TON).
Scan the Forward return playbook for context, then the Coin map for leadership and laggards.
Laggards include Dogecoin, Toncoin.
Forward return playbook (BTC)
Historical medians and hit ratios from past dates that looked similar to today (same regime + tight score band).
| Horizon | Median BTC | Hit Ratio | N |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 7.1% | 54.3% | 94 |
| 3M | -4.2% | 44.7% | 94 |
| 6M | 15.1% | 59.6% | 94 |
Coin map (0=cold, 100=hot)
Leading / Hot
- Ethereum: 83.1/100
- TRON: 76.3/100
- Cardano: 59.4/100
- Chainlink: 57.2/100
Lagging / Cold
- Dogecoin: 3.9/100
- Toncoin: 9.7/100
- Avalanche: 24.9/100
- XRP: 25.5/100
Neutral
- Polkadot: 43.8/100
- BNB: 40.8/100
- Litecoin: 38.7/100
- Bitcoin: 33.1/100
- Solana: 32.4/100
Read-through
- Higher dispersion often means selection matters more than beta.
- Use the playbook as a bias check, then size risk around the coin map (leaders vs laggards).
