S&P 500 Sector Sentiment — 2026-01-25
S&P 500 Sector Sentiment — 2026-01-25
Current tone: neutral
Latest score: 38.2/100
Cross-sector dispersion: 75.6 pts
Welcome to our finance newsletter! Dive into the latest sector sentiment on S&P 500 through our 'Sector Map'. Leaders like Materials are outperforming as of today's score at 38%. Meanwhile, laggards such as Utilities and Technology continue their underperformance. For a deeper dive into forward returns strategies, check out our special section titled 'Forward Return Playbook'! 📈
Forward return playbook (SPX)
Historical medians and hit ratios from past dates that looked similar to today (conditional on the sentiment regime + a tight score band).
| Horizon | Median SPX | Hit Ratio | N |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 1M | 1.1% | 64.0% | 250 |
| 3M | 1.4% | 62.0% | 250 |
| 6M | 0.2% | 52.4% | 250 |
| 12M | 3.5% | 62.4% | 250 |
Sector map (0=cold, 100=hot)
Leading / Hot
- Materials: 82.8/100
- Real Estate: 71.0/100
- Industrials: 59.5/100
Lagging / Cold
- Utilities: 7.2/100
- Technology: 12.5/100
- Financials: 21.1/100
Neutral
- Comm. Services: 43.8/100
- Health Care: 32.8/100
- Consumer Staples: 26.9/100
- Consumer Disc.: 24.4/100
Read-through
- Higher dispersion usually means stock selection and factor tilts matter more than pure index direction.
- Use the playbook as a bias check, then size risk around the sector map (leaders vs laggards).
