S&P 500 Sector Sentiment — 2026-02-02
S&P 500 Sector Sentiment — 2026-02-02
Current tone: neutral
Latest score: 43.3/100
Cross-sector dispersion: 82.4 pts
| Forward return playbook Materials, Industrials are outperformers as of late. The sector map shows strong performance here. Meanwhile, Technology and Consumer Discretionary lag behind the index sentiment. Investors should consider these trends when planning their investments.
Scan the Forward return playbook for context, then the Sector map for leadership and laggards.
Laggards include Technology, Consumer Disc..
Forward return playbook (SPX)
Historical medians and hit ratios from past dates that looked similar to today (conditional on the sentiment regime + a tight score band).
| Horizon | Median SPX | Hit Ratio | N |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 0.6% | 59.1% | 396 |
| 3M | 1.2% | 60.6% | 396 |
| 6M | 1.4% | 56.6% | 396 |
| 12M | 4.6% | 68.7% | 396 |
Sector map (0=cold, 100=hot)
Leading / Hot
- Materials: 92.1/100
- Industrials: 74.5/100
- Real Estate: 71.5/100
Lagging / Cold
- Technology: 9.7/100
- Consumer Disc.: 12.2/100
- Utilities: 17.9/100
Neutral
- Comm. Services: 63.3/100
- Consumer Staples: 47.1/100
- Health Care: 24.5/100
- Financials: 20.2/100
Read-through
- Higher dispersion usually means stock selection and factor tilts matter more than pure index direction.
- Use the playbook as a bias check, then size risk around the sector map (leaders vs laggards).
