S&P 500 Sector Sentiment — 2026-06-11

Current tone: neutral

Latest score: 42.9/100

Cross-sector dispersion: 95.3 pts

The current tone label is neutral, with a score of 42.87, indicating a stable market. The Forward return playbook suggests that the market is expected to perform well in the next 6-12 months, with a median return of 3.95% and 7.17% respectively. The Sector map shows that Energy and Comm. Services are the leaders, with scores of 96.58 and 73.19 respectively. On the other hand, Utilities and Materials are the laggards, with scores of 1.28 and 8.31 respectively. Real Estate, with a score of 58.47, is a sector to watch, as its performance can significantly impact the overall market.

Scan the Forward return playbook for context, then the Sector map for leadership and laggards.

Leaders include Energy, Comm. Services.

Laggards include Utilities, Materials.

Forward return playbook (SPX)

Historical medians and hit ratios from past dates that looked similar to today (conditional on the sentiment regime + a tight score band).

Horizon	Median SPX	Hit Ratio	N
1M	0.7%	59.8%	396
3M	2.0%	66.9%	396
6M	3.9%	73.7%	396
12M	7.2%	77.8%	396

Sector map (0=cold, 100=hot)

Leading / Hot

Energy: 96.6/100
Comm. Services: 73.2/100
Real Estate: 58.5/100

Lagging / Cold

Utilities: 1.3/100
Materials: 8.3/100
Consumer Disc.: 15.3/100

Neutral

Industrials: 56.4/100
Technology: 44.8/100
Consumer Staples: 43.4/100
Financials: 40.0/100
Health Care: 33.9/100

Read-through

Higher dispersion usually means stock selection and factor tilts matter more than pure index direction.
Use the playbook as a bias check, then size risk around the sector map (leaders vs laggards).

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