S&P 500 Sector Sentiment — 2026-06-15
S&P 500 Sector Sentiment — 2026-06-15
Current tone: neutral
Latest score: 44.4/100
Cross-sector dispersion: 86.0 pts
The current market tone is labeled as neutral, with a score of 44.35, and a dispersion of 85.99 points. The Sector map shows Energy, Comm. Services, and Industrials as the top performers, while Utilities, Materials, and Consumer Disc. are lagging. A Forward return playbook suggests that the median return over the next month is 0.975. Notable laggards include Utilities, with a score of 2.59, and Materials, with a score of 11.22, which may be due for a rebound.
Scan the Forward return playbook for context, then the Sector map for leadership and laggards.
Forward return playbook (SPX)
Historical medians and hit ratios from past dates that looked similar to today (conditional on the sentiment regime + a tight score band).
| Horizon | Median SPX | Hit Ratio | N |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 1.0% | 63.4% | 407 |
| 3M | 1.5% | 63.4% | 407 |
| 6M | 1.4% | 58.7% | 407 |
| 12M | 5.9% | 72.0% | 407 |
Sector map (0=cold, 100=hot)
Leading / Hot
- Energy: 88.6/100
- Comm. Services: 69.6/100
- Industrials: 66.5/100
Lagging / Cold
- Utilities: 2.6/100
- Materials: 11.2/100
- Consumer Disc.: 19.5/100
Neutral
- Real Estate: 52.9/100
- Consumer Staples: 52.6/100
- Financials: 52.5/100
- Technology: 40.4/100
- Health Care: 31.4/100
Read-through
- Higher dispersion usually means stock selection and factor tilts matter more than pure index direction.
- Use the playbook as a bias check, then size risk around the sector map (leaders vs laggards).
