S&P 500 Sector Sentiment — 2026-08-09
S&P 500 Sector Sentiment — 2026-08-09
Current tone: neutral
Latest score: 48.5/100
Cross-sector dispersion: 10.4 pts
The current market tone is labeled as neutral, with a score of 48.47. Leaders in the market include the Energy and Real Estate sectors, while laggards are also seen in these sectors. The Forward return playbook indicates a median return of 0.47% over the next month. The Sector map shows a dispersion of 10.39 points, with Energy and Real Estate being the key sectors to watch.
Scan the Forward return playbook for context, then the Sector map for leadership and laggards.
Leaders include Energy, Real Estate.
Laggards include Real Estate, Energy.
Forward return playbook (SPX)
Historical medians and hit ratios from past dates that looked similar to today (conditional on the sentiment regime + a tight score band).
| Horizon | Median SPX | Hit Ratio | N |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 0.5% | 57.1% | 413 |
| 3M | 1.1% | 59.8% | 413 |
| 6M | 2.0% | 62.2% | 413 |
| 12M | 7.0% | 74.8% | 413 |
Sector map (0=cold, 100=hot)
Leading / Hot
- Energy: 73.1/100
- Real Estate: 62.7/100
Lagging / Cold
- Real Estate: 62.7/100
- Energy: 73.1/100
Neutral
- n/a
Read-through
- Higher dispersion usually means stock selection and factor tilts matter more than pure index direction.
- Use the playbook as a bias check, then size risk around the sector map (leaders vs laggards).
